And…Here We Go!

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In a just a few hours, the Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators will kick off the NHL’s 100th season.

More than ever before, this season will be exemplified by a bevy of young guns under the employ of the Leafs, the Oilers, Flames and especially the Carolina Hurricanes.

I haven’t been around for all those seasons but have to say I’ve been a fan since before games were televised and, hopefully, will be around for a few more.

The game has changed tremendously over the decades and I have to say its current iteration featuring skill and speed as witnessed at the recent World Cup has me salivating for the upcoming games despite the insistence of coaching systems that are determined to slow the game to a crawl. Hopeful, the success of the Penguins last season will rub off on those who yearn to win by preaching safe, boring defensive hockey. We’ll soon see.

The Battle of Alberta

To me, as an almost life long Albertan, the greatest intrigue this season will be the relative ascendance of the two Alberta teams that are rising from the ashes of the past decade of ineptitude and failure.

Of course, the Edmonton Oilers have been re-building for almost an entire decade while the Calgary Flames have made a much quicker turnaround under Brian Burke and Brad Treleving.

Going into the season, it’s pretty easy to see that the renaissance in Calgary has been more successful despite the Oilers having a string of #1 picks and, while you can debate the relative merits of the forward corps on each team, the Flames are clearly better on the back end and, with even league average goaltending, should make an aggressive move up the standings.

But, I think it prudent to question whether the Oilers’ forward group is better than the Flames…I don’t think it is.

Here is the Flames’ announced forward group for tonight’s game:

I’ve seen a couple of Tweets today (from Oiler fans) suggesting that second line will get killed by the Oilers but, if we can agree the Oilers/Flames top lines are pretty much a saw off and remember that Brouwer, situationally, can move up to the top line, I don’t think the Oilers second line of Pouliot-Hopkins-Kassian is clearly superior.

In fact, I’m expecting Sam Bennett to break out in a big way this season after an 18G 18A season….I’m thinking 25G and 30A should be reasonable with the two gig wingers he’ll be playing with.

Brouwer should be good for at least 20 now that he’s getting second line minutes with skill and Tkachuk, who was superb in pre-season creates a huge net front presence that will also help Bennett.

Farther down the lineup, The Flames third group is built on two veterans who bring a very strong two way game, something that Maroon-Draisaitl-Puljujarvi will have a tough time with.

While fourth lines don’t make a huge difference in any game, The Flames group is clearly superior to Pitlick-Letestu-Slepshyev in experience.

The Back End

Calgary’s new coach is trying some unusual pairings for tonight’s game…splitting up Giordano, Brodie and Hamilton to carry Wideman, Engelland and newly-signed Niklas Grossman but I doubt that approach lasts all that long and he has the option of re-uniting his top D at any time.

What we really need to remember here is that the Flames D will be very much involved in the offensive side of the game, something the Oilers have little or no answer for.

In goal…Cam Talbot has a decent first season with the Oilers but he;s playing without a safety net while the Flames have added last season’s top goaltender by save percentage as well as a capable NHL quality backup.

How Brian Elliot adapts to a new team will be critical for the Flames this season but even if he performs at career average, the Flames should take a big step up the standings.

A Bold Prediction

I have the Calgary Flames going on a huge run this season…finishing second in the Pacific Division with the potential for a long playoff run.

I think both Anaheim and Los Angeles will falter somewhat allowing the Flames to move in behind the Sharks in second spot.

Which of the Ducks or Kings gets bumped will likely depend on luck and/or injury but the signs of a small regression are there.

Another Bold Prediction

The Edmonton Oilers are going into another season with dreadful depth in key positions and almost any injury could sink their season again.

If any of  McDavid, Eberle, Hopkins, Klefbom or Talbot missed any significant time due to injury, they just don’t have the horses to replace them.

Considering that pretty much every one of those players has a significant injury history, a prudent bettor wouldn’t count of them all being around all season.

I think you’ll see the Oilers and Canucks scrambling to stay out of last place in the Pacific Division and the Western Conference as all of Colorado, Arizona and Winnipeg finish ahead of them.

For the Canucks to prevail, they, like the Oilers, need everything to go right this season and, if experience teaches us anything, it seldom does.

So, for Shits and Giggles…

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WC

  1. Chicago
  2. Dallas
  3. Nashville
  4. St. Louis
  5. San Jose
  6. Calgary
  7. Minnesota
  8. Anaheim
  9. Winnipeg
  10. Los Angeles
  11. Colorado
  12. Arizona
  13. Vancouver
  14. Edmonton

You’re welcome

 

 

 

Snap Shots

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1) The Minnesota Wild have been charging up the WC standings and, for the first time this season are now in a playoff position.You may recall I have been saying for months that the Wild should not be overlooked given they outshoot their opposition by an average of almost 5 shots per game. They were sewered early in the season by dreadful goaltending but, now that Devan Dubnyk has been providing them with .925 goaltending, they are 8-1-1 in their last 10 with a guaranteed win against the Edmonton Oilers up next. The Wild are only 6 points back of Chicago in the Central Division and hold a game in hand so this is going to get very interesting.

2) It appears Winnipeg and Calgary are going to duke it out for the final wildcard spot in the WC. It’s unfortunate since I think it would do the game a whole lot of good if both teams made it.

3) Was just glancing at how teams fared against the dominant WC. The Edmonton Oilers have played 36 games against the west. They’ve won 4 and lost 32. That gives us a pretty good idea of how far they are from becoming a playoff team in the west.

4) It appears those writing off the Sedins as a spent force in Vancouver may have to eat some crow. Henrik Sedin is currently in 11th place in scoring among centres while brother Daniel is currently in 7th spot among LW’s.

5) A personal favourite on mine in the rookie of the year race just keeps impressing. Dallas Stars rookie D John Klingberg who has 10G and 32P in only 46 games played. Projected over a full 82 game season that would be 57 points. Also worth noting is that Klingberg has passed Aaron Ekblad  (who is having a phenomenal seasons as an 18 year old) in points.

6) Vancouver rookie Bo Horvat is impressing more and more every day. Despite playing 4th line minutes, Horvat has 9G and 18P. His P/60 5V5 of 1.99 is much better than players like Nathan MacKinnon (1.92) Nazem Kadri (1.82) and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1.77). It’ll be interesting to see how he does with more minutes against tougher competition but it appears he is NHL ready.

7) Horvat is starting to make the Corey Schneider trade to the Devils look like a win-win. Schneider has been very good in NJ with a .926 save percentage behind a bad team and posted another shutout tonight against Arizona. Vancouver goalie Ryan Miller is out with a knee problem so Eddie Lack (.917) will be getting more starts and the Canucks have called up Jacob Markstrom from the AHL where he has been phenomenal (.932). Hard to imagine that, in a very short time after moving two of the best goalies in the NHL, the Canucks now have 3 who appear to be NHL calibre.

8) Not much new to report in the Great Tank Battle. Carolina will likely pass the Leafs and the Oilers may pass the Coyotes. This seems reasonable:

1) Buffalo

2) Arizona

3) Edmonton

4) Toronto

9) The season ticket drive in Las Vegas has reached 70 percent of its goal so it appears very, very likely that Sin City will be joining the league in 2016/17.

10) Just a hunch…but keep an eye on the Calgary Flames at the trade deadline. If they can find a couple of players who can help now and in the future, I think you may see them add a forward and a defenseman. A deal for Keith Yandle wouldn’t surprise me. Calgary has the assets and the cap space to get this done.