**** I thought I would update this post since I’m being called out by name over at Lowetide’s Fanboy Site ®****
Fact of the matter is, Hall is performing EXACTLY as I expected he would when Draisaitl’s 15 minutes of fame faded into oblivion.
Also of note, as I’ve mentioned for weeks, Hall doesn’t produce on the road when other teams can shut him down.
Hall has only 13 points in 21 road games this season….that’s only .619 PPG on the road.
Just for comparisons sake…Tyler Seguin has 25 points in 21 road games this season…that’s 1.19 PPG on the road.
One of these is not like the other.
Many teams have now reached the half way point of the season and we’re starting to see some risers and fallers in the statistical rankings.
Patrick Kane, Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin have been out in from of the pack for almost the entire first half and I think it’s unlikely that changes much going forward.
Normalized for games played, here’s how the top 10 forwards look by the PPG measure:
Patrick Kane 1.43
Jamie Benn 1.27
Tyler Seguin 1.22
Vladimir Tarasenko 1.03
Blake Wheeler 1.03
Johnny Gaudreau 1.03
Joe Pavelski 1.03
Taylor Hall 1.00
Evgeni Malkin 0.97
Daniel Sedin 0.95
Most of the above names have been pretty consistent but a couple have been moving up rapidly after slow starts to the season.
Joe Pavelski has scored 8 goals and 13 points in his last 10 games and, with the return of Logan Couture from injury, I expect Pavelski will keep up that pace.
Likewise, Malkin has scored 5 goals and 11 points in his last 10 and should pass a couple of others on the list in short order.
At the other end of the scale, Taylor Hall has scored only 2 goals and 7 points in his last 10 GP with 3 of those points coming in 1 game against the Jets.
You may recall, I predicted a few weeks back that Hall’s production would tail off as Leon Draisaitl’s unsustainable 33% shooting percentage would normalize which it has done in a big way (now 13.2% and dropping like a stone).
Oiler fans should also be concerned that Hall just doesn’t score much on the road…getting only 1 goal and 5 points in his last 10 road games.
Unless that somehow changes, Hall will drop out of the top 10 very quickly
Scoring goals is the hardest thing to do in hockey so players who put the puck in the net at a significant rate hold the most value to me eye.
Here’s how that looks in GPG.
Jamie Benn .585
Patrick Kane .575
Vladimir Tarasenko .575
Alex Ovechkin .568
Tyler Seguin .561
Joe Pavelksi .541
Mike Hoffman .528
Tyler Toffoli .487
Evgeni Malkin .473
Johnny Gaudreau .447
Obviously, any player that is on both of the above lists is a tremendous offensive player and deserves to be at the all star game.
The Bobby Orrs
The modern NHL game relies to a very large degree on fast, mobile defensemen who can move the puck and contribute to the offense.
Erik Karlsson is having just a ridiculous season with 1.05 PPG and I’m beginning to believe he should win the league MVP award.
Dallas Stars phenom John Klingberg isn’t far behind at .902 but he’s cooled off a bit lately and Brent Burns, at .919, has passed him.
I’d keep an eye out for Justin Faulk at .750 and Tyson Barrie also at .750 to keep moving up as the second half unfolds as well as the Flames TJ Brodie who is returning from injury and has been coming on strong at .689.